Wildfires: Increasing frequency and intensity

Oregon, USA 2021
Slocan Valley, British Columbia, Canada (July 27, 2024)

Wildfires are in the news literally every day. Fire seasons are starting earlier and ending later. In recent times, Canada, Greece, Brazil, Hawaii, Chile, Oregon, and California–among many other places–have faced record-breaking and devastating fires.

Featured article:

*Cunningham, C. X., Williamson, G. J., & Bowman, D. M. J. S. (2024). Increasing frequency and intensity of the most extreme wildfires on Earth. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 8(8), 1420-1425. [Cited by]

Climate change is exacerbating wildfire conditions, but evidence is lacking for global trends in extreme fire activity itself. Here we identify energetically extreme wildfire events by calculating daily clusters of summed fire radiative power using 21 years of satellite data, revealing that the frequency of extreme events (≥99.99th percentile) increased by 2.2-fold from 2003 to 2023, with the last 7 years including the 6 most extreme. Although the total area burned on Earth may be declining, our study highlights that fire behaviour is worsening in several regions—particularly the boreal and temperate conifer biomes—with substantial implications for carbon storage and human exposure to wildfire disasters.

See also —

Wildfire smoke and dirty air are also climate change problems: Solutions for a world on fire

How wildfire smoke can harm human health, even when the fire is hundreds of miles away – a toxicologist explains

Wildfires and climate change

Questions? Please let me know (engelk@grinnell.edu).